Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 90% |
| Spread -0.5 | 85% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Spread -6.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 39.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| O/U 43.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 51.5 | 38% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| O/U 65.5 | 32% |
| O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| O/U 71.5 | 28% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| O/U 49.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 10% |
| O/U 57.5 | 9% |
| O/U 55.5 | 8% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| O/U 61.5 | 7% |
| O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Southern Miss 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Southern Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Southern Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss. In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Southern Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $170K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →