Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 92% |
| O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| O/U 49.5 | 90% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Georgia O/U 23.5 | 88% |
| Spread -0.5 | 75% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 58% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 51.5 | 55% |
| O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Georgia O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia | 37% |
| Spread -30.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| O/U 71.5 | 3% |
| Spread -12.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -11.5 | 2% |
| Spread -15.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -22.5 | 2% |
| Spread -25.5 | 2% |
| Spread -26.5 | 2% |
| Spread -36.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -18.5 | 1% |
| Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| Spread -23.5 | 1% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| Spread -33.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: auburn vs. georgia. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Auburn and Georgia, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game. This market wi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $629K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Auburn vs. Georgia" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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