Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 99% |
| O/U 41.5 | 96% |
| O/U 37.5 | 90% |
| O/U 43.5 | 90% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -0.5 | 89% |
| North Dakota State O/U 23.5 | 87% |
| O/U 45.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 81% |
| O/U 47.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 79% |
| O/U 49.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| Spread -4.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| Nevada O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| O/U 55.5 | 60% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| O/U 57.5 | 54% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| Nevada O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| Spread -12.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| O/U 61.5 | 38% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| Spread -11.5 | 33% |
| O/U 67.5 | 30% |
| Nevada O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| Nevada O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| O/U 71.5 | 28% |
| O/U 73.5 | 28% |
| Spread -18.5 | 28% |
| Spread -19.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 27% |
| Spread -22.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| Spread -15.5 | 21% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| O/U 65.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| Spread -6.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -26.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -33.5 | 3% |
| Spread -30.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolv…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $158K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →