Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 21.5 | 94% |
| O/U 23.5 | 94% |
| O/U 24.5 | 93% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 92% |
| O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| O/U 27.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 87% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 86% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 86% |
| O/U 29.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 31.5 | 80% |
| O/U 30.5 | 80% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| O/U 33.5 | 75% |
| Steelers O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 11.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 35.5 | 67% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| O/U 36.5 | 65% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 37.5 | 61% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 60% |
| O/U 38.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| Steelers O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 53% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 52% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| O/U 40.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 21+ | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 51% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| O/U 41.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| O/U 43.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 42% |
| Steelers O/U 25.5 | 41% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| O/U 44.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| O/U 45.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 34% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 46.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 33% |
| O/U 47.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Falcons vs. Steelers | 30% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| O/U 48.5 | 30% |
| O/U 49.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 29% |
| Falcons O/U 22.5 | 28% |
| Steelers O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| O/U 51.5 | 22% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 50.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 52.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 53.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| O/U 54.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Falcons O/U 25.5 | 16% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 55.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 13% |
| O/U 57.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Falcons O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 94% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Falcons vs. Steelers. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If the game is postpo…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $134K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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