Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 79% |
| O/U 212.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 73% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| O/U 218.5 | 62% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 62% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| O/U 220.5 | 57% |
| O/U 221.5 | 56% |
| O/U 222.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 223.5 | 52% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 224.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 225.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 45% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 226.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 42% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 228.5 | 40% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 38% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 231.5 | 34% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5 | 32% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 23% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 79% Chance für prognose: knicks vs. celtics. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". I…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $76K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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