Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 96% |
| O/U 28.5 | 96% |
| O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 96% |
| O/U 32.5 | 95% |
| O/U 33.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 93% |
| O/U 34.5 | 93% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 36.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| O/U 24.5 | 89% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 89% |
| O/U 37.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 88% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| O/U 38.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 40.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| O/U 42.5 | 80% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 43.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 75% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 74% |
| O/U 44.5 | 74% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 46.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 47.5 | 67% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 67% |
| O/U 48.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| O/U 52.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 53.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 54.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 55.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 56.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 57.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| O/U 58.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| O/U 60.5 | 29% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 62.5 | 25% |
| O/U 63.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 96% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Ravens vs. Cowboys. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:25PM ET: If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If the game is postponed,…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $234K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Ravens vs. Cowboys über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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