Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 38.5 | 78% |
| O/U 28.5 | 76% |
| O/U 30.5 | 76% |
| O/U 32.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 76% |
| O/U 40.5 | 76% |
| Troy O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| Troy O/U 23.5 | 69% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 65% |
| Troy vs. Utah State | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| O/U 46.5 | 60% |
| O/U 48.5 | 53% |
| O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Troy 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Troy 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Troy 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Troy O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| O/U 52.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 58.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Spread -12.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| O/U 56.5 | 32% |
| O/U 66.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| O/U 68.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| O/U 64.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Troy vs. Utah State — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "Utah S…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $248K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Troy vs. Utah State über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Troy vs. Utah State" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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