Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 74% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| Army O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| O/U 45.5 | 66% |
| Army O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| Tulsa O/U 23.5 | 61% |
| Army vs. Tulsa | 57% |
| O/U 61.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 55% |
| O/U 65.5 | 55% |
| O/U 67.5 | 54% |
| O/U 71.5 | 53% |
| O/U 73.5 | 52% |
| Army O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 75.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Army 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Army 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Army 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Army vs. Tulsa: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Army vs. Tulsa: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Army vs. Tulsa: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Army vs. Tulsa: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Army vs. Tulsa: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army vs. Tulsa: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 43.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
Markt-Kontext
Army vs. Tulsa. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 57% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T00:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $223K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Army vs. Tulsa über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Army vs. Tulsa" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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