Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 84% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 71% |
| O/U 230.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 231.5 | 67% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 62% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 62% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 58% |
| O/U 236.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 239.5 | 52% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 51% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 32% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 25% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Mavericks vs. Pacers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 30% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-23T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $254K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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