Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Test) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 94% |
| O/U 201.5 | 94% |
| O/U 205.5 | 92% |
| O/U 207.5 | 89% |
| O/U 209.5 | 87% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 4.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 86% |
| O/U 211.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 85% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 83% |
| O/U 213.5 | 81% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 215.5 | 78% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 76% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 75% |
| O/U 217.5 | 74% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 73% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Points O/U 4.5 | 70% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 70% |
| O/U 219.5 | 69% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 68% |
| Meleek Thomas: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | 66% |
| O/U 221.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 65% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 64% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 64% |
| Cavaliers O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 63% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 63% |
| Cavaliers O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Meleek Thomas: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 61% |
| O/U 223.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 58% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 57% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| O/U 225.5 | 56% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 56% |
| Cavaliers O/U 110.5 | 56% |
| Cavaliers O/U 108.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| O/U 226.5 | 55% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| O/U 227.5 | 52% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 52% |
| Cavaliers O/U 111.5 | 52% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 228.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Meleek Thomas: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Proctor: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Cavaliers O/U 112.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 48% |
| O/U 229.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| Mavericks O/U 117.5 | 46% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Cavaliers O/U 115.5 | 45% |
| Cavaliers O/U 113.5 | 45% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Cavaliers O/U 116.5 | 44% |
| Mavericks O/U 128.5 | 44% |
| O/U 231.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 43% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Cavaliers O/U 114.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 41% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Meleek Thomas: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 60.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 39% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 44.5 | 39% |
| O/U 233.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 38% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 38% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 38% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| Meleek Thomas: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 37% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Mavericks O/U 124.5 | 37% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 39.5 | 37% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Meleek Thomas: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Mavericks O/U 122.5 | 36% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 36% |
| Meleek Thomas: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Meleek Thomas: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Cavaliers O/U 122.5 | 35% |
| Cavaliers O/U 124.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 235.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Cavaliers O/U 118.5 | 34% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 34% |
| Tyrese Proctor: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Tyrese Proctor: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Cavaliers O/U 120.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| Tyrese Proctor: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 237.5 | 31% |
| Meleek Thomas: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Proctor: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 29% |
| Cavaliers O/U 126.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 239.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Meleek Thomas: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 72.5 | 28% |
| Cavaliers O/U 128.5 | 28% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 27% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Meleek Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| O/U 241.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Tyrese Proctor: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 22% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 243.5 | 20% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5 | 19% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| O/U 245.5 | 16% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 17.5 | 16% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -18.5 | 15% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 15% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| O/U 247.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 12% |
| O/U 249.5 | 11% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| O/U 251.5 | 10% |
| Spread -22.5 | 10% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| O/U 253.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| O/U 255.5 | 6% |
| O/U 257.5 | 6% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 11.5 | 5% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Spread -31.5 | 4% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 4% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -25.5 | 2% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: mavericks vs. cavaliers 94%. In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the even…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $973K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Polymarket Test, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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