Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| Colts O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Colts O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 85% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 85% |
| Titans O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| Titans O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| Colts O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| Colts O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| Colts O/U 13.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| Colts O/U 20.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Titans O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| Colts 1H O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| O/U 40.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Colts O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Titans O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| O/U 42.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Colts 1H O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Colts 1H O/U 12.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 58% |
| Titans 1H O/U 6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| O/U 44.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Titans 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Titans 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 21+ | 50% |
| Titans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Titans Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Colts O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Colts 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Titans O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 46% |
| Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 46.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| Colts 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Colts O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Titans 1H O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 48.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Titans O/U 20.5 | 39% |
| Colts 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Titans 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Colts 1H O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 1-6 | 35% |
| Titans vs. Colts: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Colts 1H O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Moneyline | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 1-6 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Colts O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| Titans 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Titans O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Titans 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Titans vs. Colts | 26% |
| Titans 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 25% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| O/U 54.5 | 23% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| Titans O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 20% |
| O/U 56.5 | 19% |
| Spread -19.5 | 18% |
| Titans O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Titans O/U 26.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| Titans O/U 27.5 | 11% |
| Colts O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 66.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: titans vs. colts 96%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Titans and Colts, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Titans" if Titans win the game. This market will res…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $114K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Titans vs. Colts über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Titans vs. Colts" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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