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Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks

Diese Übersicht bricht „Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks" auf fünf Plattformen herunter und zeigt, wo Sie zu 0 % Gebühr handeln.

Race to 20 100% Race to 30 100% Spread -4.5 100% Spread -10.5 100% Volumen: $4.7M Liquidität: $3K Schließt: 28 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Diesen Markt handeln →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Diesen Markt handeln →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Diesen Markt handeln →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Diesen Markt handeln →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Diesen Markt handeln →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
Race to 20100%
Race to 30100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -11.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
O/U 192.5100%
O/U 194.5100%
O/U 196.5100%
O/U 198.5100%
O/U 200.5100%
O/U 202.5100%
O/U 204.5100%
O/U 206.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5100%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 7.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 9.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.5100%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5100%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 9.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5100%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 4.5100%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 9.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5100%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.5100%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 9.5100%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 14.5100%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 19.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5100%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5100%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 3.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5100%
1H O/U 100.5100%
1H O/U 96.5100%
1H O/U 98.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q O/U 56.5100%
1Q O/U 58.5100%
1Q O/U 60.5100%
1Q O/U 62.5100%
1Q O/U 44.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q O/U 47.5100%
3Q O/U 49.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q O/U 49.5100%
4Q O/U 51.5100%
4Q O/U 53.5100%
Knicks O/U 101.5100%
Knicks O/U 103.5100%
Knicks O/U 105.5100%
Knicks O/U 107.5100%
Knicks O/U 109.5100%
Pistons O/U 95.5100%
Knicks O/U 99.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 53.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 51.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 55.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 57.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 59.5100%
Miles McBride: Points O/U 4.5100%
Landry Shamet: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 4.5100%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 4.5100%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 9.5100%
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 4.5100%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 4.5100%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 1.598%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.582%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.580%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.578%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.570%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.556%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 1.551%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 1.551%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.550%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.550%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
John Collins: Assists O/U 1.550%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.550%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 3.550%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.550%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.550%
John Collins: Steals O/U 0.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.550%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.550%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.550%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.550%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.550%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 1.550%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 2.550%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Landry Shamet: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Miles McBride: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 2.550%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.549%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.528%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.58%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.57%
Landry Shamet: Assists O/U 3.57%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.52%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.51%
Miles McBride: Assists O/U 1.51%
Pistons vs. Knicks0%
Team to Score First0%
Odd/Even Score0%
Overtime?0%
Race to 100%
O/U 220.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -33.50%
O/U 208.50%
O/U 210.50%
O/U 212.50%
O/U 214.50%
O/U 216.50%
O/U 218.50%
O/U 222.50%
O/U 224.50%
O/U 226.50%
O/U 228.50%
O/U 230.50%
O/U 232.50%
O/U 234.50%
O/U 236.50%
O/U 238.50%
O/U 240.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H O/U 112.50%
1H Moneyline0%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 23.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.50%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.50%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.50%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.50%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.50%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.50%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.50%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.50%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 24.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.50%
John Collins: Points O/U 9.50%
John Collins: Points O/U 14.50%
John Collins: Points O/U 19.50%
John Collins: Points O/U 24.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.50%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 14.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.50%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.50%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.50%
John Collins: Points O/U 29.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 24.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 34.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 24.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 29.50%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.50%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.50%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.50%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.50%
John Collins: Assists O/U 3.50%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.50%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 7.50%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 9.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.50%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 5.50%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 5.50%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 3.50%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 5.50%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 5.50%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.50%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.50%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.50%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.50%
John Collins: Steals O/U 1.50%
John Collins: Steals O/U 2.50%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 44.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 44.50%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 24.50%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.50%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.50%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 34.50%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -19.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H O/U 110.50%
1H O/U 108.50%
1H O/U 116.50%
1H O/U 118.50%
1H O/U 120.50%
1H O/U 122.50%
1H O/U 124.50%
1H O/U 126.50%
1H O/U 128.50%
1H O/U 102.50%
1H O/U 104.50%
1H O/U 106.50%
1H O/U 114.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q O/U 64.50%
1Q O/U 66.50%
1Q O/U 68.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q O/U 55.50%
2Q O/U 59.50%
2Q O/U 51.50%
2Q O/U 53.50%
2Q O/U 57.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q O/U 53.50%
3Q O/U 57.50%
3Q O/U 59.50%
3Q O/U 55.50%
3Q O/U 51.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
Pistons O/U 99.50%
Pistons O/U 101.50%
Pistons O/U 103.50%
Pistons O/U 105.50%
Pistons O/U 107.50%
Knicks O/U 111.50%
Pistons O/U 109.50%
Knicks O/U 113.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 61.50%
Pistons 1H O/U 59.50%
Pistons O/U 111.50%
Knicks O/U 115.50%
Pistons O/U 97.50%
Pistons 1H O/U 51.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 53.50%
Pistons 1H O/U 53.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 55.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 57.50%
Pistons 1H O/U 55.50%
Pistons 1H O/U 57.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 59.50%
Pistons O/U 113.50%
Knicks O/U 117.50%
Pistons O/U 115.50%
Knicks O/U 119.50%
Knicks O/U 121.50%
Pistons O/U 117.50%
Pistons 2H O/U 49.50%
Pistons 2H O/U 51.50%
Pistons 2H O/U 53.50%
Pistons 2H O/U 55.50%
Pistons 2H O/U 57.50%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 19.50%
Miles McBride: Points O/U 9.50%
Miles McBride: Points O/U 14.50%
Miles McBride: Assists O/U 3.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Landry Shamet: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Landry Shamet: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Miles McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.50%
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 9.50%
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 14.50%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 3.50%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.50%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 14.50%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 19.50%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 19.50%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 5.50%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 9.50%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.50%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 3.50%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 2.50%

Markt-Kontext

Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 27 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postpo…

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet Race to 20 mit 100% bei "Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks".

Race to 20 100% Andere 0%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $4.7M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.

Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.

Häufige Fragen

Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Julia MüllerJulia MüllerSport-RedakteurinundStefan KochStefan KochTech-Journalist

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